Saturday, January 5, 2008

The Price of Inevitability

The price of inevitability, as HR notes in a comment yesterday, is that people don't like being told what to do. HRC (still considered inevitable if you look at national polls) was slapped down in Iowa, and there's a lot of talk about how if she doesn't win NH, she's done.

However, I would just point out that in 1992, Bill Clinton took 3% of the Iowa delegates (coming in fourth after "undecided"), and he lost NH to Paul Tsongas. I can still remember thinking, "Who is this guy?" when he finally started winning.

In other words, it ain't over till it's over.

Meanwhile, Kucinich is fighting ABC over their debate rules, and my uncle and others are claiming a censoring conspiracy. Fun!


Anonymous said...

Is Kucinich for real? He says alot of really great things, but I can't read him.

My husband doesn't think HRC would be committed to getting us out of Iraq. Though he supports the war (and McCain), he believes she would end of having policies similar to him

Not sure...... but I agree with him on this. ... If you really don't support the war, and want troops a canidate with that platform.

KAZ said...

Yes, you need to support a candidate with the platform you support. That's one of the reasons people around here are leaning away from HRC--her record on the war.

Kucinich has been consistent on that, but he doesn't seem to have the gravitas required to lead. Even people we know who knew him as mayor of Cleveland thought he was a joke. A lot of Ithacans supported him last time around, though, because he is far to the left of center on most issues, and consistently so.